Those wizened with age and political wisdom see a method in the arrest of YSRC chief Jagan Mohan Reddy on Sunday after the three days of grilling by the CBI in the disproportionate assets case.
Postnoon’s enquiry with three senior political bigwigs (one in Delhi) says that the timing of the arrest is well chosen. As the by-election campaign is in full swing in the 18 Assembly and 1 Lok Sabha seat, the arrest would not provoke largescale violence at the instance of the YSRC because it will lead to countermanding the elections which will deny the YSRC the pleasure to prove its mettle in the elections.
At the same time, say the sources, the Congress will have the chance to see how much the sympathy factor helps the YSRC in the polls. If, they say, the rebel party sweeps the polls, the Central leadership will have a rethink on the Jagan issue and might strike a deal with him before the 2014 elections.
Andhra Pradesh has a pivotal role in the Congress scheme. Thirty one MPs are the oxygen on which the Congress survives. It’s too precious to be given up. It is no surprise the Central emissary and Union Minister Vayalar Ravi said during a chat with the Postnoon, “the AP problem will be solved soon.” He was confident and he had talks with people close to Jagan more than once.
If the YSRC sweeps this elections, the Congress will have no compunction of considering Jagan his basic demand —ruler of the State. To a political party, nothing is more valuable than the one who bring the seats in legislature. Little wonder Jagan Reddy said more than once, “when a crisis takes place, I will help UPA.”